Nicklas Backstrom vs Steven Stamkos
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Backstrom wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.3% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 55.0%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 63.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 65.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Backstrom
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Backstrom
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
Backstrom
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (473)
55.3% (628)
-3.9%
Power Play
39.5% (38)
55.1% (216)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
40.2% (87)
-6.9%
On power play, Stamkos has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Backstrom is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Backstrom shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Stamkos
Home
53.6% (278)
55.5% (499)
Away
46.6% (236)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Backstrom
Stamkos
P1
51.5%
50.7%
P2
56.0%
53.8%
P3
43.5%
55.9%
OT
50.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |