Nicklas Backstrom vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.5% vs Hertl 54.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 32-25 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 63.4%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 63.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 63.8%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Backstrom
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
32
(57 meetings)
25
32
Backstrom
Hertl
Last 10: Backstrom 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
13
Backstrom
Hertl
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
7
9
Backstrom
Hertl
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Backstrom
Hertl
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (11,581)
53.8% (8,268)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.3% (1,895)
59.3% (1,975)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (889)
46.3% (806)
+0.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Backstrom shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Hertl
Home
52.6% (7,223)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
48.4% (7,173)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Backstrom
Hertl
P1
50.1%
53.6%
P2
49.7%
54.1%
P3
51.6%
55.3%
OT
52.9%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 12, 2023 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |