Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Hischier wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 52.6% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 89.7%
Defensive zone
Hischier 52.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 69.6%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Hischier
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Hischier
Lafferty
Last 10: Hischier 8-2 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
7
3
Hischier
Lafferty
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
3
4
Hischier
Lafferty
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
1
Hischier
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (8,379)
48.0% (1,413)
+3.5%
Power Play
59.7% (1,736)
45.7% (46)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (903)
43.5% (184)
+5.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Hischier shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Hischier
Lafferty
Home
53.0% (5,449)
47.3% (833)
Away
52.2% (5,569)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Hischier
Lafferty
P1
52.9%
49.4%
P2
52.4%
43.1%
P3
52.6%
49.8%
OT
50.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |