Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Hischier wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 55.2% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 81.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 69.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 58.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Hischier
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hischier
Lafferty
Last 5: Hischier 4-1 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
0
Hischier
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,228)
50.7% (144)
+5.1%
Power Play
62.1% (282)
50.0% (2)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (267)
50.0% (10)
-2.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Hischier shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Hischier
Lafferty
Home
56.5% (867)
53.2% (62)
Away
54.6% (910)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Hischier
Lafferty
P1
57.9%
53.3%
P2
55.9%
46.7%
P3
52.7%
52.8%
Final 5 min
55.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |