Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 84.1%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 58.9%
Neutral zone
Hischier 62.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Hischier
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hischier
Lafferty
Last 5: Hischier 4-1 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
0
Hischier
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
1
Hischier
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
52.2% (366)
+0.2%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
60.0% (15)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
46.2% (104)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Hischier shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Hischier
Lafferty
Home
53.4% (844)
53.1% (258)
Away
54.3% (810)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Hischier
Lafferty
P1
49.7%
52.5%
P2
54.6%
49.7%
P3
56.1%
51.3%
OT
65.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 17:44 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |