Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hischier wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 51.6% vs Lafferty 49.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 73.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 70.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Hischier
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Hischier
Lafferty
Last 7: Hischier 3-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
1
Hischier
Lafferty
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Hischier
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Hischier
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (789)
51.5% (204)
-1.4%
Power Play
58.9% (151)
41.7% (12)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
35.0% (20)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Hischier is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Hischier shoots left. Lafferty is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Hischier
Lafferty
Home
53.7% (445)
49.2% (124)
Away
50.1% (535)
50.0% (112)
By Period
Hischier
Lafferty
P1
52.6%
48.9%
P2
49.8%
48.1%
P3
52.8%
51.6%
OT
51.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
51.7%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 16:58 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |