Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hischier wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 51.6% vs Seguin 57.4% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 77.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 61.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 67.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Hischier
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hischier
Seguin
Last 8: Hischier 2-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
4
Hischier
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Hischier
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (789)
59.6% (736)
-9.5%
Power Play
58.9% (151)
61.5% (65)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
47.6% (124)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hischier is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Hischier shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Hischier
Seguin
Home
53.7% (445)
60.1% (461)
Away
50.1% (535)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Hischier
Seguin
P1
52.6%
59.1%
P2
49.8%
58.9%
P3
52.8%
57.3%
OT
51.9%
46.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
56.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | OT | 00:49 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |