Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 56.3%). Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs Seguin 55.4% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 71.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 50.1%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Hischier
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Hischier
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
0
Hischier
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Hischier
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
56.9% (478)
-0.8%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
57.4% (54)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
51.3% (76)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Hischier shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Hischier
Seguin
Home
56.5% (706)
57.4% (317)
Away
56.7% (681)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Hischier
Seguin
P1
54.8%
50.3%
P2
57.8%
60.4%
P3
57.6%
58.0%
OT
14.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |