Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 54.7%). Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hischier wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 53.6% vs Seguin 54.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 57.9%
Defensive zone
Hischier 50.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 53.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Hischier
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Hischier
Seguin
Last 7: Hischier 2-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Hischier
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Hischier
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,185)
55.0% (713)
-2.6%
Power Play
57.8% (315)
56.7% (104)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (154)
47.2% (53)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Hischier shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Hischier
Seguin
Home
53.4% (844)
56.2% (443)
Away
54.3% (810)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Hischier
Seguin
P1
49.7%
54.2%
P2
54.6%
52.9%
P3
56.1%
57.1%
OT
65.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |