Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hischier wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 56.2% vs Gourde 48.0% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 59.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 74.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 63.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Hischier
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Hischier
Gourde
Last 10: Hischier 5-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
4
Hischier
Gourde
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Hischier
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Hischier
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (1,018)
48.0% (914)
+8.1%
Power Play
59.9% (289)
54.2% (48)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (80)
43.9% (123)
+7.4%
On even strength, Hischier has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Hischier shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Hischier
Gourde
Home
56.5% (706)
50.2% (512)
Away
56.7% (681)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Hischier
Gourde
P1
54.8%
50.0%
P2
57.8%
45.3%
P3
57.6%
48.6%
OT
14.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:08 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:57 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |