Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Hischier wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hischier 54.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 95.6%
Defensive zone
Hischier 67.8%
Neutral zone
Hischier 82.8%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Hischier
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
3
(15 meetings)
12
3
Hischier
Gourde
Last 10: Hischier 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
8
0
Hischier
Gourde
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hischier
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
2
Hischier
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hischier
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,107)
47.2% (654)
+7.8%
Power Play
63.1% (252)
45.0% (20)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (149)
32.2% (87)
+11.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Hischier shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Hischier
Gourde
Home
56.5% (763)
44.1% (322)
Away
54.0% (745)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Hischier
Gourde
P1
56.0%
42.4%
P2
57.6%
49.8%
P3
53.0%
44.3%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |