Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Sturm 59.0% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 81.4%
Defensive zone
Sturm 65.7%
Neutral zone
Sturm 59.4%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Bonino
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Bonino
Sturm
Last 5: Bonino 3-2 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Sturm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Sturm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
60.6% (708)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
56.4% (101)
-7.9%
On even strength, Sturm has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Bonino shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Bonino
Sturm
Home
53.1% (177)
61.6% (451)
Away
49.3% (229)
58.2% (376)
By Period
Bonino
Sturm
P1
55.9%
55.9%
P2
49.6%
58.9%
P3
47.6%
64.6%
OT
100.0%
70.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |