Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sturm wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 55.2% vs Laughton 47.5% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Sturm leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sturm 67.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 88.5%
Neutral zone
Sturm 76.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Sturm
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Sturm
Laughton
Last 10: Sturm 8-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
4
1
Sturm
Laughton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (716)
47.4% (719)
+8.7%
Power Play
67.7% (31)
50.4% (129)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
45.0% (229)
+6.1%
On power play, Sturm has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Sturm shoots left. Laughton is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
Sturm
Laughton
Home
55.6% (412)
50.2% (520)
Away
56.0% (468)
44.5% (557)
By Period
Sturm
Laughton
P1
59.6%
44.2%
P2
52.0%
49.1%
P3
55.5%
48.4%
OT
60.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
56.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:04 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 3 | 04:04 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:13 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |