Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sturm wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Laughton 49.0% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sturm 77.8%
Defensive zone
Sturm 91.8%
Neutral zone
Sturm 77.7%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Sturm
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Sturm
Laughton
Last 6: Sturm 5-1 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
1
0
Sturm
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
0
Sturm
Laughton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
2
1
Sturm
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
49.1% (761)
+11.5%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
49.3% (69)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
47.6% (147)
+8.8%
On power play, Sturm has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Sturm is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Sturm shoots left. Laughton is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Sturm
Laughton
Home
61.6% (451)
50.7% (485)
Away
58.2% (376)
47.2% (492)
By Period
Sturm
Laughton
P1
55.9%
46.5%
P2
58.9%
51.1%
P3
64.6%
49.5%
OT
70.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:21 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 12, 2024 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |