Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.6% vs Roy 48.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 73.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 68.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 67.8%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Haula
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Haula
Roy
Last 8: Haula 2-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Haula
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Haula
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Haula
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (516)
50.6% (176)
+4.1%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
37.5% (8)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
11.1% (9)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Haula is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Haula shoots left. Roy is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Haula
Roy
Home
58.8% (386)
50.0% (88)
Away
48.4% (318)
46.7% (105)
By Period
Haula
Roy
P1
53.8%
57.7%
P2
55.2%
46.6%
P3
53.2%
39.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 8, 2020 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 07:08 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 03:42 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |