Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Harkins 52.4% vs Roy 47.9% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 65.6%
Defensive zone
Harkins 51.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 52.2%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Harkins
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Harkins
Roy
Last 6: Harkins 3-3 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Harkins
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Harkins
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Harkins
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (152)
48.6% (679)
+2.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
48.0% (50)
+52.0%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (66)
34.7% (49)
+24.4%
On power play, Harkins has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Harkins is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Harkins shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Harkins
Roy
Home
54.8% (115)
49.3% (345)
Away
51.9% (104)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Harkins
Roy
P1
51.4%
47.6%
P2
53.3%
47.1%
P3
55.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
53.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 4, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |