Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Dickinson wins 55.8% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Roy 51.9% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 52.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 54.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Dickinson
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dickinson
Roy
Last 9: Dickinson 4-5 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Roy
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
4
Dickinson
Roy
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
51.9% (547)
-0.1%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
54.1% (37)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
53.3% (92)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Dickinson is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Dickinson shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Roy
Home
48.7% (419)
54.0% (328)
Away
50.4% (383)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Dickinson
Roy
P1
42.6%
53.5%
P2
55.0%
51.6%
P3
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
44.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:58 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |