Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boqvist on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boqvist wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 45.1% vs Roy 47.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 61.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 84.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 63.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Boqvist
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Boqvist
Roy
Last 6: Boqvist 4-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
2
0
Boqvist
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Boqvist
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boqvist
2
1
Boqvist
Roy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (148)
48.6% (679)
-4.7%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
48.0% (50)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
34.7% (49)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Boqvist is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Boqvist shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Roy
Home
43.0% (93)
49.3% (345)
Away
41.3% (75)
46.4% (433)
By Period
Boqvist
Roy
P1
55.9%
47.6%
P2
37.3%
47.1%
P3
31.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
30.0%▼
39.5%
42.3%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |