Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.5% vs Roy 48.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 59.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 64.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 64.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Zibanejad
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Zibanejad
Roy
Last 6: Zibanejad 0-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Zibanejad
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Zibanejad
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Zibanejad
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (1,051)
48.3% (633)
+1.8%
Power Play
58.3% (120)
52.1% (48)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (227)
43.7% (87)
-1.8%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Zibanejad shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Roy
Home
49.0% (681)
50.8% (376)
Away
49.9% (717)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Zibanejad
Roy
P1
49.9%
53.8%
P2
47.6%
43.5%
P3
51.1%
46.4%
OT
48.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 7, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |