Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Rantanen wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rantanen 53.2% vs Roy 47.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 95.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 83.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 75.0%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Rantanen
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Rantanen
Roy
Last 7: Rantanen 5-2 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
5
0
Rantanen
Roy
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Rantanen
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rantanen
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (346)
47.5% (617)
+4.2%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
39.6% (53)
+18.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.4% (97)
-46.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +46.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Rantanen is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Rantanen shoots left. Roy is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Rantanen
Roy
Home
55.8% (258)
47.2% (398)
Away
51.8% (253)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Rantanen
Roy
P1
50.0%
48.6%
P2
56.6%
48.8%
P3
54.3%
43.9%
OT
71.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:51 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:48 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |