Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Ostlund 36.5% (+20.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 92.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 74.0%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Roy
Ostlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Roy
Ostlund
Last 6: Roy 4-2 Ostlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostlund
0
1
Roy
Ostlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
1
Roy
Ostlund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Ostlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
32.2% (261)
+19.7%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
11.1% (9)
+43.0%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
33.3% (3)
+20.0%
On power play, Roy has a +43.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostlund shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Ostlund is 35.8% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Roy
Ostlund
Home
54.0% (328)
37.3% (142)
Away
50.6% (348)
25.2% (131)
By Period
Roy
Ostlund
P1
53.5%
34.0%
P2
51.6%
32.6%
P3
51.6%
27.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
23.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Ostlund
46.0%▲
34.5%
31.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:29 | Neutral | Noah Ostlund |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 07:44 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Noah Ostlund |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 07:27 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |