Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 61.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 81.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 71.1%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Roy
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Roy
Stastny
Last 6: Roy 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Roy
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Roy
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.9%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
59.1% (1,994)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
52.9% (1,119)
-7.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Roy
Stastny
Home
49.5% (2,221)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Roy
Stastny
P1
50.8%
56.3%
P2
46.3%
55.4%
P3
48.1%
53.5%
OT
50.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | OT | 01:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | OT | 01:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |