Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Stastny 55.4% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 71.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 68.4%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Roy
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Roy
Stastny
Last 6: Roy 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
2
Roy
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Roy
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
59.2% (370)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
40.9% (44)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
51.7% (58)
-9.0%
On power play, Roy has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Roy
Stastny
Home
47.7% (491)
57.7% (215)
Away
50.0% (440)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Roy
Stastny
P1
51.1%
57.7%
P2
44.6%
54.2%
P3
50.9%
57.7%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | OT | 01:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | OT | 01:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |