Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.3% vs Stastny 56.3% (-9.6%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.0%
Defensive zone
Roy 72.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Roy
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (633)
57.5% (412)
-9.2%
Power Play
52.1% (48)
60.0% (65)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
43.7% (87)
44.4% (9)
-0.7%
On even strength, Stastny has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Roy is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (550).
Roy shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Roy
Stastny
Home
50.8% (376)
58.3% (276)
Away
45.4% (392)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Roy
Stastny
P1
53.8%
63.7%
P2
43.5%
57.3%
P3
46.4%
50.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%