Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.9% vs Byfield 44.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 57.5%
Defensive zone
Byfield 50.4%
Neutral zone
Byfield 52.2%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Roy
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Roy
Byfield
Last 8: Roy 4-4 Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Roy
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Byfield
1
3
Roy
Byfield
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (679)
44.5% (853)
+4.1%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
42.9% (21)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (49)
38.2% (68)
-3.5%
On power play, Roy has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Roy is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Roy shoots right. Byfield is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Roy
Byfield
Home
49.3% (345)
43.8% (502)
Away
46.4% (433)
44.3% (440)
By Period
Roy
Byfield
P1
47.6%
44.2%
P2
47.1%
43.0%
P3
47.9%
45.0%
OT
75.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
47.7%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 18:29 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 24, 2025 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |