Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Byfield 45.4% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 65.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 82.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 67.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Roy
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Roy
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Byfield
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Byfield
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
46.5% (759)
+5.4%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
50.0% (58)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
35.1% (148)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Byfield is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Roy
Byfield
Home
54.0% (328)
46.2% (442)
Away
50.6% (348)
44.0% (523)
By Period
Roy
Byfield
P1
53.5%
44.1%
P2
51.6%
43.5%
P3
51.6%
47.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |