Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 51.9% vs Jost 45.0% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 76.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.6%
Neutral zone
Jost 52.5%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 76.6%
23.4%
76.6%
Roy
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Roy
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Roy
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (547)
39.3% (84)
+12.6%
Power Play
54.1% (37)
0.0% (1)
+54.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (92)
50.0% (6)
+3.3%
On power play, Roy has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Roy shoots right. Jost is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Roy
Jost
Home
54.0% (328)
38.5% (52)
Away
50.6% (348)
41.0% (39)
By Period
Roy
Jost
P1
53.5%
40.6%
P2
51.6%
38.9%
P3
51.6%
39.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |