Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.9% vs Jost 42.2% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 65.6%
Defensive zone
Jost 57.6%
Neutral zone
Jost 54.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Roy
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Roy
Jost
Last 6: Roy 3-3 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Jost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Roy
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Roy
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (746)
40.8% (314)
+8.7%
Power Play
50.7% (75)
37.5% (8)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (110)
39.4% (104)
+3.3%
On power play, Roy has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Roy is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (689).
Roy shoots right. Jost is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Roy
Jost
Home
47.7% (491)
42.8% (264)
Away
50.0% (440)
36.4% (162)
By Period
Roy
Jost
P1
51.1%
37.4%
P2
44.6%
40.5%
P3
50.9%
43.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |