Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Roy wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 48.4% vs Jost 40.5% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Jost leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 50.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Roy
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Roy
Jost
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
2
Roy
Jost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
2
Roy
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (3,719)
41.0% (2,014)
+7.7%
Power Play
49.5% (283)
34.2% (73)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (477)
35.3% (255)
+10.2%
On power play, Roy has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Roy shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Roy
Jost
Home
49.5% (2,221)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
47.3% (2,258)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Roy
Jost
P1
50.8%
38.5%
P2
46.3%
41.2%
P3
48.1%
40.9%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 11:33 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |