Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Aman wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aman 41.1% vs Hertl 54.2% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Aman 50.8%
Defensive zone
Aman 73.2%
Neutral zone
Aman 67.9%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Aman
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Aman
Hertl
Last 10: Aman 3-7 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Aman
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
4
3
Aman
Hertl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aman
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (664)
53.8% (8,268)
-13.6%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
59.3% (1,975)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
46.3% (806)
-12.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Aman is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Aman shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Aman
Hertl
Home
39.6% (341)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
40.1% (367)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Aman
Hertl
P1
41.9%
53.6%
P2
42.1%
54.1%
P3
35.5%
55.3%
Final 5 min
36.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
39.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Nils Aman |