Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Aman wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aman 47.3% vs Hertl 56.8% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aman 73.1%
Defensive zone
Aman 71.3%
Neutral zone
Aman 72.7%
Result
Nils Aman favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Aman
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Aman
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Aman
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aman
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (150)
57.0% (718)
-11.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.9% (188)
-64.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
44.2% (77)
+22.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Aman is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Aman shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Aman
Hertl
Home
40.6% (64)
59.2% (463)
Away
48.9% (94)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Aman
Hertl
P1
52.0%
56.3%
P2
43.9%
55.4%
P3
41.2%
60.5%
Final 5 min
30.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
45.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |