Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aman on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Aman wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aman 40.2% vs Hertl 54.5% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 81.4%
Defensive zone
Aman 73.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Aman
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Aman
Hertl
Last 8: Aman 4-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Aman
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aman
4
2
Aman
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aman
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (439)
54.1% (1,117)
-15.1%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
59.8% (296)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (28)
34.4% (32)
-9.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Aman is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Aman shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Aman
Hertl
Home
39.8% (259)
54.3% (709)
Away
36.3% (215)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Aman
Hertl
P1
38.9%
51.6%
P2
41.7%
53.6%
P3
33.8%
58.6%
Final 5 min
39.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aman
38.0%▼
40.5%
38.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 17:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Nils Aman |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Nils Aman |