Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Cates 45.8% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 90.3%
Defensive zone
Jenner 88.0%
Neutral zone
Jenner 72.4%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Jenner
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Jenner
Cates
Last 8: Jenner 6-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
0
Jenner
Cates
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
2
Jenner
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (775)
44.3% (271)
+10.2%
Power Play
59.1% (198)
77.8% (18)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (140)
31.7% (41)
+14.7%
On power play, Cates has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Jenner is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Jenner shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Jenner
Cates
Home
52.9% (512)
52.0% (148)
Away
55.4% (601)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Jenner
Cates
P1
55.0%
42.7%
P2
54.5%
42.9%
P3
53.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
54.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |