Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings). Jenner wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 53.9% vs Cates 43.2% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Jenner leads 19-6 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Jenner 96.6%
Defensive zone
Jenner 94.6%
Neutral zone
Jenner 94.3%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 95.6%
95.6%
4.4%
Jenner
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
6
(25 meetings)
19
6
Jenner
Cates
Last 10: Jenner 7-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
12
2
Jenner
Cates
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
2
3
Jenner
Cates
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jenner
5
1
Jenner
Cates
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (6,190)
44.1% (2,742)
+10.4%
Power Play
55.8% (1,147)
43.0% (242)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (998)
34.9% (373)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Jenner is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,180).
Jenner shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Home / Away
Jenner
Cates
Home
54.5% (4,051)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
53.4% (4,284)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Jenner
Cates
P1
53.7%
44.5%
P2
53.5%
43.5%
P3
54.4%
41.2%
OT
54.5%
29.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:46 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:05 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:26 | Offensive | Noah Cates |