Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.1% vs Cates 45.5% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 53.4%
Defensive zone
Cates 77.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 72.6%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Strome
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Strome
Cates
Last 7: Strome 2-5 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
2
Strome
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
0
3
Strome
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (848)
45.4% (712)
+11.0%
Power Play
66.4% (295)
42.2% (102)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
44.7% (47)
-3.0%
On power play, Strome has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Strome is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Strome shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Home / Away
Strome
Cates
Home
55.8% (616)
46.3% (423)
Away
62.2% (539)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Strome
Cates
P1
61.8%
46.3%
P2
54.6%
47.1%
P3
60.5%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
57.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
48.0%▼
56.5%
58.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Noah Cates |