Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.2% vs Cates 45.1% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 91.9%
Defensive zone
Domi 70.6%
Neutral zone
Domi 71.9%
Result
Max Domi favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Domi
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Domi
Cates
Last 6: Domi 5-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
0
Domi
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
2
1
Domi
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (499)
46.7% (912)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
33.9% (56)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
35.0% (137)
-35.0%
On penalty kill, Cates has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Domi shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Domi
Cates
Home
51.0% (298)
46.1% (521)
Away
49.2% (246)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Domi
Cates
P1
54.8%
48.0%
P2
48.9%
42.3%
P3
46.4%
44.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:30 | Defensive | Max Domi |