Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 50.8% vs Cates 40.4% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 93.1%
Defensive zone
Backlund 85.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 92.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 91.5%
91.5%
8.5%
Backlund
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Backlund
Cates
Last 6: Backlund 6-0 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
0
Backlund
Cates
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
0
Backlund
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,083)
40.4% (841)
+11.5%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
42.4% (66)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (183)
32.7% (147)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Backlund shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Backlund
Cates
Home
51.9% (673)
38.2% (566)
Away
49.9% (713)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Backlund
Cates
P1
51.4%
40.5%
P2
50.5%
42.4%
P3
51.4%
35.3%
OT
35.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.2%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 04:38 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 14:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |