Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 20 meetings). Cates wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 43.2% vs Danault 53.2% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 28-15 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 92.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 95.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 92.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Cates
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
28
(43 meetings)
15
28
Cates
Danault
Last 10: Cates 4-6 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
4
Cates
Danault
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
7
9
Cates
Danault
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
5
15
Cates
Danault
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (2,742)
53.6% (9,447)
-9.5%
Power Play
43.0% (242)
61.4% (757)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (373)
47.4% (1,702)
-12.5%
On power play, Danault has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,284).
Cates shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Home / Away
Cates
Danault
Home
43.8% (1,663)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
42.1% (1,694)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
Cates
Danault
P1
44.5%
53.7%
P2
43.5%
53.5%
P3
41.2%
52.7%
OT
29.4%
49.3%
Final 5 min
41.1%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:50 | Neutral | Noah Cates |