Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Cates wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.1% vs Danault 52.1% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 82.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 72.5%
Neutral zone
Cates 72.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 72.8%
72.8%
27.2%
Cates
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Cates
Danault
Last 10: Cates 4-6 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
0
Cates
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
6
Cates
Danault
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
3
6
Cates
Danault
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (912)
52.4% (958)
-5.7%
Power Play
33.9% (56)
62.0% (71)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (137)
47.6% (187)
-12.6%
On power play, Danault has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Cates shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Cates
Danault
Home
46.1% (521)
51.2% (605)
Away
43.3% (584)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Cates
Danault
P1
48.0%
53.1%
P2
42.3%
49.8%
P3
44.3%
54.3%
OT
31.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:54 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |