Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Cates wins 39.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 40.4% vs Danault 54.0% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Cates 91.2%
Defensive zone
Cates 87.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 91.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Cates
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Cates
Danault
Last 10: Cates 2-8 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Cates
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cates
Danault
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
8
Cates
Danault
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (841)
55.1% (953)
-14.7%
Power Play
42.4% (66)
64.6% (144)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
32.7% (147)
42.0% (176)
-9.3%
On power play, Danault has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Cates shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Cates
Danault
Home
38.2% (566)
55.4% (641)
Away
41.0% (488)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Cates
Danault
P1
40.5%
61.0%
P2
42.4%
52.3%
P3
35.3%
51.3%
OT
42.9%
35.3%
Final 5 min
36.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 3 | 13:19 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 02:52 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |