Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cates 45.8% vs Johansen 52.8% (-8.6%)
Offensive zone
Johansen 54.5%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.9%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.4%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Cates
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cates
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (271)
51.9% (597)
-7.6%
Power Play
77.8% (18)
57.9% (133)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
54.3% (81)
-22.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Cates shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Cates
Johansen
Home
52.0% (148)
55.8% (387)
Away
38.5% (182)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Cates
Johansen
P1
42.7%
50.0%
P2
42.9%
56.2%
P3
48.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%