Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Ostlund wins 34.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostlund 34.9% vs Thompson 46.5% (-18.0%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 63.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 55.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Ostlund
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostlund
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
28.8% (205)
46.1% (484)
-17.3%
Power Play
0.0% (7)
48.4% (91)
-48.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
30.0% (20)
+3.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +48.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Ostlund is 34.6% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Ostlund shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Ostlund
Thompson
Home
34.5% (116)
47.9% (313)
Away
20.2% (99)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Ostlund
Thompson
P1
32.9%
50.5%
P2
27.3%
44.6%
P3
22.6%
42.3%
Final 5 min
24.5%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostlund
22.0%▼
27.0%
27.9%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%