Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Ostlund wins 33.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ostlund 35.0% vs Thompson 42.9% (-14.0%)
Offensive zone
Ostlund 55.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Ostlund
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ostlund
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
29.5% (227)
43.0% (3,363)
-13.5%
Power Play
0.0% (7)
46.9% (369)
-46.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
33.3% (252)
+0.0%
On power play, Thompson has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Ostlund is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Ostlund shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,874).
Home / Away
Ostlund
Thompson
Home
34.4% (128)
45.1% (2,037)
Away
22.0% (109)
40.2% (1,947)
By Period
Ostlund
Thompson
P1
33.7%
44.7%
P2
27.1%
43.5%
P3
24.6%
40.3%
Final 5 min
24.6%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ostlund
22.0%▼
27.0%
28.7%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.7%