Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Acciari 51.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Acciari leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 90.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 87.2%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 53.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Fantilli
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Fantilli
Acciari
Last 10: Fantilli 3-7 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
4
Fantilli
Acciari
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
3
Fantilli
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
53.0% (285)
-3.4%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
31.3% (16)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.8% (183)
+3.7%
On power play, Fantilli has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Fantilli is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Fantilli shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Acciari
Home
50.8% (472)
53.2% (267)
Away
49.2% (480)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Fantilli
Acciari
P1
47.8%
53.1%
P2
52.7%
51.1%
P3
50.0%
50.6%
OT
30.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 3 | 03:28 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:08 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:48 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |