Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 52.0%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Zacha 51.7% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 83.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 81.9%
Neutral zone
Acciari 53.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Acciari
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Acciari
Zacha
Last 10: Acciari 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
2
Acciari
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Acciari
Zacha
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Acciari
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (285)
53.3% (646)
-0.3%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
53.0% (100)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (183)
38.9% (72)
+11.9%
On power play, Zacha has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Acciari shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Acciari
Zacha
Home
53.2% (267)
51.7% (410)
Away
49.3% (217)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Acciari
Zacha
P1
53.1%
57.7%
P2
51.1%
48.9%
P3
50.6%
50.2%
OT
40.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:18 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:58 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |