Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.8%). Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Acciari wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Zacha 54.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 90.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 77.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 85.7%
14.3%
85.7%
Acciari
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
Acciari
Zacha
Last 8: Acciari 0-8 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
7
Acciari
Zacha
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Acciari
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
53.9% (787)
+1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
63.2% (193)
-63.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
44.3% (88)
+7.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Acciari is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (444).
Acciari shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Acciari
Zacha
Home
55.2% (306)
56.7% (538)
Away
53.7% (268)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Acciari
Zacha
P1
55.5%
52.6%
P2
54.3%
54.8%
P3
54.1%
56.8%
OT
33.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
47.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |