Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.2%). Acciari wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.2% vs Zacha 52.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 91.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 79.0%
Neutral zone
Acciari 51.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Acciari
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Acciari
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Acciari
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Acciari
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (393)
54.1% (534)
+2.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
56.0% (109)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (202)
44.8% (96)
+3.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Acciari is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Acciari shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Acciari
Zacha
Home
54.5% (279)
53.4% (406)
Away
53.0% (319)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Acciari
Zacha
P1
56.9%
56.8%
P2
51.4%
53.6%
P3
53.2%
49.2%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 00:37 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:07 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |