Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Acciari wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.9% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 84.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 54.9%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 69.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Acciari
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Acciari
Carpenter
Last 5: Acciari 2-3 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Acciari
Carpenter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
0
Acciari
Carpenter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Acciari
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (426)
48.8% (404)
+6.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (146)
43.6% (101)
+8.5%
On power play, Carpenter has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Acciari is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Acciari shoots right. Carpenter is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Acciari
Carpenter
Home
55.2% (306)
48.9% (274)
Away
53.7% (268)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Acciari
Carpenter
P1
55.5%
51.9%
P2
54.3%
49.4%
P3
54.1%
41.8%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
54.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |