Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.3% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 69.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 69.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 50.3%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Acciari
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Acciari
Carpenter
Last 9: Acciari 5-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Acciari
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
4
0
Acciari
Carpenter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
2
Acciari
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (3,276)
49.6% (2,027)
+3.2%
Power Play
48.2% (85)
41.5% (41)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,061)
43.9% (467)
+3.2%
On power play, Acciari has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Acciari shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Acciari
Carpenter
Home
52.0% (2,115)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
50.7% (2,307)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Acciari
Carpenter
P1
52.2%
49.6%
P2
51.5%
47.7%
P3
50.5%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:57 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:21 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |