Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 53.3% vs Johansen 58.2% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 83.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 68.5%
Neutral zone
Johansen 60.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Acciari
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Acciari
Johansen
Last 7: Acciari 4-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Acciari
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
1
Acciari
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
1
Acciari
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (532)
59.8% (625)
-5.3%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
58.2% (196)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (86)
51.9% (27)
-3.1%
On even strength, Johansen has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Acciari is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Acciari shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Acciari
Johansen
Home
56.2% (281)
60.3% (436)
Away
51.9% (345)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Acciari
Johansen
P1
53.4%
61.3%
P2
57.1%
60.4%
P3
51.4%
56.0%
OT
0.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 1 | 09:55 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |